by
Julien Faddoul
The nominations for the 88th
Academy Awards are tomorrow morning. Despite their nonsensicality, I always
have fun predicting them every year. Here are my final predictions.
I have made the necessary
amount of predictions correlating to the limit of each category – 10 for
PICTURE, 3 for MAKEUP and 5 for everything else – after which I list my
alternates which I have limited myself to only 3.
BEST PICTURE
The Big
Short, Bridge of Spies, Mad Max, The Martian, The Revenant and Spotlight are all in. Brooklyn,
Carol, Room and Compton are all
vulnerable. It all depends on how many nominees ultimately make it through
(decided by a preferential ballot). The race this year has been thinner than
usual with all 13 of these films having their own ardent supporters and
detractors, and then some.
Predictions:
The Big
Short
Bridge
of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
Mad Max:
Fury Road
The
Martian
The
Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Straight
Outta Compton
Alternates
Inside
Out
Sicario
Trumbo
DIRECTOR
I’m with the DGA line-up
here, but if any of the five is vulnerable, it’s Miller.
Predictions:
The Big
Short – Adam
McKay
Mad Max:
Fury Road – George Miller
The
Martian – Ridley
Scott
The
Revenant –
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Spotlight
– Thomas
McCarthy
Alternates
Bridge
of Spies – Steven Spielberg
Carol – Todd Haynes
Sicario – Denis Villeneuve
ACTOR
I can see both Damon and
Fassbender being left off, as both those performances rubbed some people the
wrong way.
Predictions:
The
Danish Girl – Eddie Redmayne
The
Martian – Matt Damon
The
Revenant –
Leonardo DiCaprio
Steve
Jobs – Michael
Fassbender
Trumbo – Bryan Cranston
Alternates
Black
Mass – Johnny
Depp
Concussion – Will Smith
Mr
Holmes – Ian
McKellen
ACTRESS
Okay, now we get into the
great mess of the 2015 awards season. It is clear that both Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander are committing category fraud by
campaigning for supporting positions. I ultimately have to make an executive
decision as to what I predict will happen and I’m taking the coward’s route and
sticking with the campaign. It’s just cleaner that way, even though it might
cost me in prediction points. But if either of them appears here, it will be
instead of Jennifer Lawrence.
Predictions:
Brooklyn
– Saoirse
Ronan
Carol – Cate Blanchett
45 Years
– Charlotte
Rampling
Joy – Jennifer Lawrence
Room – Brie Larson
Alternates
Carol – Rooney Mara
The
Danish Girl – Alicia Vikander
Grandma – Lily Tomlin
SUPPORTING ACTOR
The year’s most difficult
category to pin down. There are dozens of different scenarios that could play
out here and the only two I'm confident with are Stallone and Rylance. Both Tremblay
and Dano are additional cases of category fraud.
Predictions:
Bridge
of Spies – Mark Rylance
The Big
Short – Christian
Bale
Creed – Sylvester Stallone
99 Homes
– Michael
Shannon
Room – Jacob Tremblay
Alternates
Beasts
of No Nation – Idris Elba
Love
& Mercy – Paul Dano
Spotlight
– Mark
Ruffalo
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Again, I have placed Vikander
and Mara here. What makes things more uncertain is that Vikander could also
feasible be nominated for Ex Machina
(a genuinely supporting performance). In case you didn't know, an actor can't be nominated twice in the same category.
Predictions:
Carol – Rooney Mara
The
Danish Girl – Alicia Vikander
The
Hateful Eight – Jennifer Jason Leigh
Spotlight
– Rachel
McAdams
Steve
Jobs – Kate
Winslet
Alternates
Ex
Machina – Alicia
Vikander
Trumbo –
Helen
Mirren
Youth – Jane Fonda
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Most people are predicting Straight Outta Compton instead of Bridge of Spies, whose script no one particularly
cared for. I’m being a square though and believe the academy will be too.
Predictions:
Bridge
of Spies –
Matthew Charman, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen
Ex
Machina – Alex
Garland
The
Hateful Eight – Quentin Tarantino
Inside
Out – Pete
Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley, Ronnie Del Carmen
Spotlight
– Tom
McCarthy, Josh Singer
Alternates
Sicario – Taylor Sheridan
Straight
Outta Compton – Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh Savidge, Alan Wenkus
Trainwreck
– Amy
Schumer
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
This is fierce 6-film race
and I had to leave one off. I chose Carol;
not at all confident.
Predictions:
The Big
Short – Adam
McKay, Charles Randolph
Brooklyn – Nick Hornby
The
Martian – Drew
Goddard
Room – Emma Donoghue
Steve
Jobs – Aaron
Sorkin
Alternates
Carol – Phyllis Nagy
The
Revenant –
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Mark Smith
Trumbo – John McNamara
ANIMATED FILM
This category always finds
some way to surprise every year. Therefore, only Inside Out is safe here.
Predictions:
Anomalisa
The Good
Dinosaur
Inside
Out
The
Peanuts Movie
Shaun
the Sheep Movie
Alternates
Boy and
the World
Kahlil
Gibran's The Prophet
Minions
FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
Predictions:
Embrace
of the Serpent – Ciro Guerra; Colombia
Labyrinth
of Lies – Giulio
Ricciarelli; Germany
Mustang
– Deniz
Gamze Erguven; France
Son of
Saul – Lazlo
Nemes; Hungary
Viva – Paddy Breathnach; Ireland
Alternates
The
Brand New Testament – Jaco Van Dormael; Belgium
The
Fencer – Klaus
Haro; Finland
Theeb – Naji Abu Nowar; Jordan
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Predictions:
Carol – Edward Lachman
The
Hateful Eight – Robert Richardson
Mad Max:
Fury Road – John
Seale
The
Revenant –
Emmanuel Lubezki
Sicario – Roger Deakins
Alternates
The
Assassin – Ping
Bin Lee
Bridge
of Spies – Janusz
Kaminski
The
Martian –
Dariusz Wolski
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Predictions:
Bridge
of Spies – Adam
Stockhausen; Rena DeAngelo, Bernhard Henrich
Crimson
Peak – Thomas
E. Sanders; Jeffrey A. Melvin, Shane Vieau
The
Danish Girl – Eve Stewart; Michael Standish
Mad Max:
Fury Road – Colin
Gibson; Katie Sharrock, Lisa Thompson
The
Martian – Arthur
Max; Celia Bobak, Zoltan Horvath
Alternates
Carol – Judy Becker; Heather
Loeffler
Cinderella
– Dante
Ferretti; Casey Banwel, Francesca Lo Schiavo
Star
Wars: The Force Awakens – Rick Carter, Darren Gilford; Lee Sandales
COSTUME DESIGN
Predictions:
Brooklyn
– Odile
Dicks-Mireaux
Carol – Sandy Powell
Cinderella
– Sandy
Powell
Crimson
Peak – Kate
Hawley
The
Danish Girl – Paco Delgado
Alternates
The
Assassin – Wen-Ying
Huang
Mad Max:
Fury Road – Jenny
Beavan
Trumbo – Daniel Orlandi
FILM EDITING
Predictions:
The Big
Short – Hank
Corwin
Bridge
of Spies –
Michael Kahn
Mad Max:
Fury Road –
Margaret Sixel
The
Martian – Pietro
Scalia
Spotlight – Tom McArdle
Alternates
The
Revenant –
Stephen Mirrione
Sicario – Joe Walker
Steve
Jobs – Elliot
Graham
SOUND
Predictions:
Mad Max:
Fury Road – Ben
Osmo, Chris Jenkins, Gregg Rudloff
The
Martian – Mac
Ruth, Paul Massey, Mark Taylor
Star
Wars: The Force Awakens – Stuart Wilson, Andy Nelson, Chris Scarabosio
Straight
Outta Compton – Willie Burton, Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montano
The
Revenant – Chris
Duesterdiek, Frank A. Montaño, Jon Taylor, Randy Thom
Alternates
Bridge
of Spies – Drew
Kunin, Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom
The
Hateful Eight – Mark Ulano, Christian P. Minkler, Michael Minkler
Sicario – John Reitz, Tom Ozanich,
William Sarokin
SOUND EDITING
Predictions:
Bridge
of Spies – Richard Hymns
Mad Max:
Fury Road – Scott Hecker, Mark Mangini, David White
The
Revenant – Martin Hernandez, Randy Thom, Lon Bender
Sicario
– Alan Robert Murray
Star
Wars: The Force Awakens – David Accord, Matthew Wood
Alternates
The
Hateful Eight – Wylie Stateman
Inside
Out – Ren Klyce, Shannon Mills
The
Martian – Oliver Tarney
VISUAL EFFECTS
Predictions:
Mad Max:
Fury Road –
Andrew Jackson, Tom Wood, Dan Oliver, Andy Williams
The
Martian –
Richard Stammers, Chris Lawrence, Anders Langlands, Steven Warner
The
Revenant – Rich
McBridge, Matt Shumway, Jason Smith, Cameron Waldbauer
Star
Wars: The Force Awakens – Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan,
Chris Corbould
The Walk
– Kevin
Baillie, Jim Gibbs, Viktor Muller, Sebastien Moreau
Alternates
Avengers:
Age of Ultron – Christopher Townsend, Ben Snow, Alessandro Cioffi, Paul Corbould
Ex
Machina – Andrew
Whitehurst
Jurassic
World – Tim
Alexander, Glen McIntosh, Tony Plett, Michael Meinardus
MAKEUP
Predictions:
Black
Mass – Joel
Harlow, Gloria Casny
Mad Max:
Fury Road – Lesley Vanderwalt, Damian Martin, Elka Wardega
The
Revenant – Graham Johnston, Adrien Morot, Robert Pandini
Alternates
Mr.
Holmes – Dave
Elsey
The
100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared – Eva Kozma, Erzsebet Racz
Concussion
– Jacenda
Burkett, Kathrine Gordon
ORIGINAL SCORE
Predictions:
Carol – Carter Burwell
The
Danish Girl – Alexandre Desplat
The
Hateful Eight – Ennio Morricone
Spotlight
– Howard
Shore
Star
Wars: The Force Awakens – John Williams
Alternates
Bridge
of Spies – Thomas Newman
Inside
Out – Michael
Giacchino
Sicario
– Jóhann
Jóhannsson
ORIGINAL SONG
I’m abstaining from this category
this year because the songs that are in contention have been so boring and so
out of my realm of consciousness.
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Predictions:
Amy
Cartel
Land
Listen
to Me Marlon
The Look
of Silence
Winter
on Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom
Alternates
Going
Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
What
Happened, Miss Simone?
Where to
Invade Next
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Predictions:
Claude
Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
A Girl
in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
Last Day
of Freedom
Minerita
Starting
Point
Alternates
Chau,
Beyond the Lines
50 Feet
from Syria
The
Testimony
ANIMATED SHORT
Predictions:
Bear
Story (Historia de un Oso)
If I Was
God...
Prologue
Sanjay's
Super Team
World of
Tomorrow
Alternates
Carface
(Autos Portraits)
Love in
the Time of March Madness
We Can't
Live Without Cosmos
LIVE-ACTION SHORT
Predictions:
Ave
Maria
Bis
Gleich (Till Then)
Day One
Shok
Stutterer
Alternates
Everything
Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)
The Free
Man (Zi You Ren)
Winter
Light
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